A Tale of Two Treaties

An analysis of the Uranium One deal and the New START Treaty, and their unforeseen impact on America's nuclear future.

The Uranium One Deal: From Bureaucracy to Political Firestorm

The 2010 acquisition of Canadian company Uranium One by Russia's Rosatom was a low-profile deal approved by multiple U.S. agencies. It controlled access to 20% of U.S. uranium *mining licenses*, a critical distinction from physical uranium. Years later, it was reframed into a major political controversy.

Deal Approval Breakdown

The Committee on Foreign Investment in the United States (CFIUS) is comprised of nine government entities. The decision to approve the deal was unanimous, indicating no single agency, including the State Department, could have vetoed it alone. The process confirmed there were no unresolved national security concerns at the time.

U.S. Uranium Production vs. Consumption (2010)

In 2010, the U.S. produced only a fraction of the uranium needed to power its nuclear reactors. The Uranium One deal concerned mining rights for a portion of this domestic production, none of which could be exported without a separate and never-granted license from the Nuclear Regulatory Commission (NRC).

Timeline of Controversy

2010

CFIUS and NRC unanimously approve Rosatom's acquisition of a majority stake in Uranium One. The event receives minimal media coverage.

2015

The book "Clinton Cash" is published, linking donations to the Clinton Foundation from individuals connected to Uranium One with the deal's approval, igniting the political controversy.

2017

Congressional Republicans launch investigations into the deal. Attorney General Jeff Sessions directs DOJ prosecutors to evaluate whether a special counsel is needed.

2022

The Russian invasion of Ukraine prompts a ban on Russian oil imports to the U.S. and initiates a debate on banning Russian uranium, highlighting U.S. dependency on foreign sources.

The New START Treaty: A Battle Over Disarmament

Signed in 2010, the New Strategic Arms Reduction Treaty (New START) was a landmark arms control agreement between the U.S. and Russia. It faced fierce opposition from those who believed it weakened U.S. security, but was ultimately ratified with bipartisan support, seen as essential for strategic stability.

1,550
Deployed Strategic Warheads Limit
700
Deployed ICBMs, SLBMs, & Bombers Limit
18
On-Site Inspections Per Year

Key Arguments: For vs. Against

Supporters Argued:

  • Restored vital on-site inspections of Russian nuclear forces.
  • Enhanced strategic stability and predictability.
  • Had strong support from military and national security leaders.
  • Enabled cooperation on other issues, like Iran sanctions.

Opponents Argued:

  • Could constrain U.S. missile defense development.
  • Failed to limit Russia's advantage in tactical nuclear weapons.
  • Verification measures were weaker than previous treaties.
  • Could impede U.S. nuclear arsenal modernization efforts.

Senate Ratification Vote (Dec 2010)

The treaty was ratified by a vote of 71-26, surpassing the required two-thirds majority. The vote demonstrated significant bipartisanship, with 13 Republicans joining all Democrats in support. This support was crucial for its passage.

Collision Course: Nuclear Needs vs. Geopolitical Reality

While seemingly separate, these events highlight a fundamental tension. The U.S. pursued arms reduction with a geopolitical rival while simultaneously becoming more dependent on that same rival (and its allies) for the very material needed to fuel its domestic nuclear energy sector, a key component of its carbon-free energy goals.

U.S. Uranium Imports by Origin Country (2022)

By 2022, nearly half of the uranium powering U.S. reactors came from Russia, Kazakhstan, and Uzbekistan. This dependency creates a strategic vulnerability, as geopolitical events could disrupt supply, threatening U.S. energy security and climate objectives.